Move Away from the Herd OR Let the 632 Loss Be Your Gain.

Like many of you, I'm unhappy with events in the stock market the past few weeks, and especially last Thursday and today.

While I may not be thrilled about the current volatility, I am in nowhere near a state of panic.  In my 2o-year adult lifetime alone there have been innumerable instances when there was panic about the stock market, but each one turned out to be opportunities for smart investors.


Wiser souls, and my own experience, have taught me that whenever there is panic, there are even greater opportunities.

My optimism may seem to be coming too closely on the heels of the hard times of  2008 and 2009.  However, looking at market behavior, we are a LONG way from the depths of March 2009.  The S&P 500 is up more than 75% since then, and many stocks & funds are up even higher.
 
I am an entrepreneur and business man, not an economist, Wall Street analyst, or a financial advisor.  Nevertheless, I know enough about the market to know that it is common for a pause or decline to occur after strong performance.  I see the same in business.  It is the nature of the beast.  Unfortunately, we just never know when the pause will occur, and for how long.

Despite the emotion of the past week and today (a.k.a. the moment), there are some objectively positive factors.  Most recently, Friday's jobs report was surprisingly positive.  As someone who runs a job board, I know there is a long, long way to go on the jobs front.  Still, it was nice to see a higher-than-expected increase in jobs numbers.

Another great piece of news: corporate profits are strong.  Really strong.  Forgive the investor-speak, but quarterly corporate earnings have exceeded expectations, and aggregate corporate earnings & revenue are up more than 13% over the last twelve-month period. Companies are holding enormous amounts of cash, with many buying back their own shares and increasing their dividends.  When you combine good earnings with decreasing stock prices, it usually spells opportunity.

Do your best to take advantage of the opportunity to buy good stocks at attractive prices, which is the opposite of what the herd is doing right now.


At times like these people often ask, "What do we do now?" As frustrating as it may seem, this is not a time to make moves based on the emotion of the day. This is a time to resist the sirens who are singing, "sell, get out, run for cover."

Instead of running for cover, why not try to make a run at the table?  There are deals to be had and money to be made.  At present, the P/E ratio (price/earnings ratio) for the S&P 500 is a little more than 13, while the long-term average ratio is 16. Numerous companies have prices that are even more attractive in P/E terms.

Ulysses had himself lashed to the mast of his ship so that he could not be swayed by the sirens.  Dramatic, maybe, but however you do it, resist the lure of endless macroeconomic commentary, know that our economy's healing will call for more time and patience.  Also understand that well-run companies (both U.S. and non-U.S.) can make money for themselves and their investors even when economic times aren't perfect.  I know we're doing that at the companies I help to run (Talent Zoo and Strongbox West), and I personally know many others who are doing the same for their firms.


Now is a great time to look for opportunities, and stay the course.

Remember the "guaranteed job offer" service TheLadders announced in June? http://bit.ly/ladscam11 Who didn't see that comin'?

Rick Myers
RickM Rick Myers
 

Perhaps a @fastcompany debate between @cenedella & @RickM?#TheLadderScam(s) exposed in less than 10 questions. cc: @ferenstein
Rick Myers
RickM Rick Myers 
@
 
@ferenstein appreciate your opinion. Maybe a bold & innovative scam, but not healthy business, bit.ly/ladscam

Rick Myers
RickM Rick Myers 
@
 
@College_Bridge I know @cenedel won't take me up on it, but I'm game if Mark is. #LaddersScam cc: @ferenstein @businessinsider @szshell

Rick Myers
RickM Rick Myers 

Maybe I'll pay $2.5K to see if TheLadders lands me a job. Can report back weekly on the process. Interested @cenedel? cc @nickcorcodilos

Rick Myers
RickM Rick Myers 
@
 
@ericrovner BINGO.

Warren Buffett on the U.S. Deficit. #Bingo

“I could end the deficit in 5 minutes. You just pass a law that says that anytime there is a deficit of more than 3% of GDP all sitting members of congress are ineligible for re-election.”
Warren Buffett (CNBC Interview)
.

Are you eating meat from a factory or a farm?

Big fan of Will Harris, his White Oak Pastures farm & his work with @GeorigaOrganics

Of course, hot chix at my place (pic),

Img_1463

Our chickens just arrived in the mail: 2 Red Stars, 1 Leghorn, 1 Welsummer, 1 Dominique & 1 Bantam Cochin. #Adorable.

Img_1455

Odd e-mail from Borders. Guess this is what you do when your book business hits the skids,

Photo

My fav caption on the HuffPo-AOL deal.

Photo

Creative cover from The Economist this week on the State of The U.S.

134_0456

Attitude almost always trumps skill. Hire for heart.